Global Catastrophes and Trends - (Mit Press) by Vaclav Smil (Paperback)
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<p/><br></br><p><b> About the Book </b></p></br></br>A wide-ranging, interdisciplinary look at global changes that may occur over the next fifty years--whether sudden and cataclysmic world-changing events or gradually unfolding trends.<p/><br></br><p><b> Book Synopsis </b></p></br></br><b>A wide-ranging, interdisciplinary look at global changes that may occur over the next fifty years--whether sudden and cataclysmic world-changing events or gradually unfolding trends.</b><p>Fundamental change occurs most often in one of two ways: as a "fatal discontinuity," a sudden catastrophic event that is potentially world changing, or as a persistent, gradual trend. Global catastrophes include volcanic eruptions, viral pandemics, wars, and large-scale terrorist attacks; trends are demographic, environmental, economic, and political shifts that unfold over time. In this provocative book, scientist Vaclav Smil takes a wide-ranging, interdisciplinary look at the catastrophes and trends the next fifty years may bring.</p><p>Smil first looks at rare but cataclysmic events, both natural and human-produced, then at trends of global importance, including the transition from fossil fuels to other energy sources and growing economic and social inequality. He also considers environmental change--in some ways an amalgam of sudden discontinuities and gradual change--and assesses the often misunderstood complexities of global warming.</p><p><i>Global Catastrophes and Trends</i> does not come down on the side of either doom-and-gloom scenarios or techno-euphoria. Instead, Smil argues that understanding change will help us reverse negative trends and minimize the risk of catastrophe.</p><p/><br></br><p><b> Review Quotes </b></p></br></br><br>I think Smil should probably be set as homework for every Member of Parliament, and there <i>will</i> be a test later...--<b>Dick Pountain</b>, <i>The Political Quarterly</i>--<br><p/><br></br><p><b> About the Author </b></p></br></br>Vaclav Smil is Distinguished Professor Emeritus at the University of Manitoba. He is the author of forty books, including <i>Energy and Civilization</i>, published by the MIT Press. In 2010 he was named by <i>Foreign Policy</i> as one of the Top 100 Global Thinkers. In 2013 Bill Gates wrote on his website that "there is no author whose books I look forward to more than Vaclav Smil."
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