Dangerous Decade - (Adelphi) by Brendan Taylor (Paperback)
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<p/><br></br><p><b> About the Book </b></p></br></br><p>Tensions over Taiwan threaten to grow into a strategic crisis, amid the background of a deteriorating relationship between China and the United States - Brendan Taylor's new <i>Adelphi</i> book explores the potential triggers for a conflict over Taiwan and calls for the development of robust crisis-management mechanisms to avoid escalation.</p><p/><br></br><p><b> Book Synopsis </b></p></br></br><p>Taiwan's position looks increasingly precarious, and tensions threaten to grow into a major strategic crisis. Chinese President Xi Jinping has made reunification with Taiwan a central pillar of his vision for China, and has ramped up diplomatic and economic pressure on Taiwan. Its inhabitants are increasingly estranged from the mainland, and Tsai Ing-wen's administration refuses to conduct relations with China on Beijing's terms. Taiwan could take on renewed strategic significance amid the backdrop of the deepening rivalry between China and the United States, and find itself at the centre of a Cold War-style superpower confrontation.</p><b> <p></p></b> <p>While Washington's support and military power has historically guaranteed Taiwan's security, this is no longer a certainty. This <i>Adelphi </i>book argues that China's military modernisation has changed the cross-strait military balance, and the ability of the US to prevail in a conflict over Taiwan may have evaporated by 2030. As China feels increasingly empowered to retake Taiwan, there is significant potential for escalation, particularly given the ambiguity of Beijing's 'red lines' on Taiwan. Neither Beijing, Taipei nor Washington want such a conflict, but each is challenging the uneasy status quo. Taylor calls for the introduction of a narrower set of formal crisis-management mechanisms designed to navigate a major Taiwan crisis.</p><p/><br></br><p><b> About the Author </b></p></br></br><p><strong>Brendan Taylor</strong> is Professor of Strategic Studies at the Strategic and Defence Studies Centre, Coral Bell School of Asia Pacific Affairs at the Australian National University. He has published widely on security architecture in the Asia-Pacific, and is the author of <i>The Four Flashpoints: How Asia Goes to War </i>(La Trobe University Press).</p>
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